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Study on the Method of Short-Term Synthetic Earthquake Prediction in the North China Region

Ping Jianjun Zhang Yongxian Zhang Qingrong Liu Suying Chen Jianguo Huang Wanfa Mi Xuemei

中国地震研究(英文版)2004,Vol.18Issue(2):188-199,12.
中国地震研究(英文版)2004,Vol.18Issue(2):188-199,12.

Study on the Method of Short-Term Synthetic Earthquake Prediction in the North China Region

Study on the Method of Short-Term Synthetic Earthquake Prediction in the North China Region

Ping Jianjun 1Zhang Yongxian 2Zhang Qingrong 1Liu Suying 1Chen Jianguo 1Huang Wanfa 1Mi Xuemei1

作者信息

  • 1. Earthquake Administration of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050021, China
  • 2. Center for Analysis and Prediction, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100036, China
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the extraction and calculation of the short-term seismic precursory information magnitude from the 114 major precursory observations in the North China region, and together with consideration of factors such as geological structure, seismicity, crustal thickness, and in particular, the current geodynamics of the region, the authors studied the time-space evolution characteristics of the short-term earthquake precursory information magnitude and its relationship with earthquakes and proposed the index and method for the short-term synthetic prediction of earthquakes with Ms ≥ 5.0 in the North China region. The inspection through Rvalue shows that the method is effective to a certain extent for earthquake prediction.

关键词

The North China region/Precursory information magnitude of short-term earthquake anomaly/Information field/Evolution characteristics/Methods of synthetic prediction

Key words

The North China region/Precursory information magnitude of short-term earthquake anomaly/Information field/Evolution characteristics/Methods of synthetic prediction

引用本文复制引用

Ping Jianjun,Zhang Yongxian,Zhang Qingrong,Liu Suying,Chen Jianguo,Huang Wanfa,Mi Xuemei..Study on the Method of Short-Term Synthetic Earthquake Prediction in the North China Region[J].中国地震研究(英文版),2004,18(2):188-199,12.

基金项目

This project was sponsored under the National 10th "Five-Year Plan" for Key Science and Technology Programs (2001BA601B01-01-04), China. (2001BA601B01-01-04)

中国地震研究(英文版)

2096-9996

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