气候变化研究进展2009，Vol.5Issue(4)：215-219,5.
松花江流域气候变化及ECHAM5模式预估
Change and Projection of Climate in the Songhua River Basin
摘要
Abstract
Based on observed temperature and precipitation data from 1961-2000 and climate projection in the first 50 years of the 21 st century by ECHAM5/MPI-OM, changes of annual temperature and precipitation in the Songhua River basin were analyzed. The results show that annual temperature has increased dramatically since the beghnning of the 1980s under global warming, but annual precipitation had no significant change trends except small decadal variations from 1961 to 2000. Relative to 1961-1990, annual temperature will increase significantly in the first 50 years of the 21st century, with an increment of more than 1 ℃ before the end of the 2040s; and annual precipitation will show no obvious trends in the first 50 years of the 21 st century, but winter precipitation and temperature will increase, and spring precipitation will also increase.关键词
松花江流域/气温/降水量/气候变化/预估Key words
Songhua River basin/temperature/precipitation/climate change/projection分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
曾小凡,李巧萍,苏布达,刘玉莲,陈华..松花江流域气候变化及ECHAM5模式预估[J].气候变化研究进展,2009,5(4):215-219,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(40601017,40701028,40771040) （40601017,40701028,40771040）
中国气象局气候研究开放实验室基金(LCS-2006-07)资助 （LCS-2006-07）
