岩土力学2009，Vol.30Issue(7)：2186-2190,5.
基于混沌理论的煤与瓦斯突出前兆时序预测研究
Study of premonitory time series prediction of coal and gas outbursts based on chaos theory
摘要
Abstract
The prediction study of coal and gas outbursts is carried out by monitoring some indices which are sensitive to the initiation of coal and gas outbursts. The values and changing rules of the indices monitoring data are the foundations of coal and gas outbursts prediction. The principle of chaos prediction is firstly introduced; and then two group data of gas density are calculated using global model, zero order model and one order model. The calculation results indicate that the accuracy of weighted one order model is higher; and the selecting of prediction method is associated with chaos property of monitored data series.关键词
混沌理论/煤与瓦斯突出/前兆时序预测Key words
chaos theory/ coal and gas outbursts/ premonitory time series prediction分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
赵志刚,谭云亮..基于混沌理论的煤与瓦斯突出前兆时序预测研究[J].岩土力学,2009,30(7):2186-2190,5.基金项目
国家重点基础研究发展规划"973"基金项目(No. 2005CB221500) （No. 2005CB221500）
国家自然科学基金重点项目(No. 2005E041503, No. 50534080) （No. 2005E041503, No. 50534080）
国家自然科学基金(No. 50674063) （No. 50674063）
山东科技大学矿山灾害预防控制教育部重点实验室开放基金项目(No. MDPC0809)资助. （No. MDPC0809）
