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影响华东地区热带气旋频数诊断预测方法研究

蒋乐贻

气象2001,Vol.27Issue(4):25-29,5.
气象2001,Vol.27Issue(4):25-29,5.

影响华东地区热带气旋频数诊断预测方法研究

A Study on Diagnostic Prediction Model of Frequency of Tropical Cyclone Affecting East China and Shanghai

蒋乐贻1

作者信息

  • 1. 上海台风研究所,
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on diagnostic conceptual model of anomalous yearly frequency of tr opical cyclone affecting East China, objective prediction models of yearly frequ ency of tropical cyclone affecting East China and Shanghai were constructed by u sing stepwise regression analysis. The prediction experiments were carried out a nd the results proved that the prediction models have predictive capacity.

关键词

热带气旋/诊断预测模式/逐步回归法

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

蒋乐贻..影响华东地区热带气旋频数诊断预测方法研究[J].气象,2001,27(4):25-29,5.

气象

OA北大核心CSCD

1000-0526

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