生态学报2009，Vol.29Issue(7)：3811-3817,7.
基于生态资产的生态系统风险分析模型及应用实例
Model of ecosystem risk based on natural capital: a case study
摘要
Abstract
Ecology is playing a core role in ecosystem management and in sustainable development of the life support system. Quantitative study of the ecosystem is crucial in ecosystem management and is becoming the research frontier. In this study, new method for measuring ecosystem risk is established by combining capitalization of natural asserts and financial risk method. Some models to calculate the total ecosystem risk for a region or watershed are established. A case study of the method is conducted in Minqin oasis ecosystem. The case study shows how to calculate the risk value of an ecosystem. The result of the case study indicates that the maximum loss of the region′s ecosystem value is no more than 192 million RMB yuan at 95% confidential level in three years. The method and formulae established for ecosystem risk analysis are useful in ecosystem management.关键词
生态系统风险分析模型/生态资产/生态系统服务功能的价值/可持续发展/民勤Key words
ecosystem risk analysis model/natural capital/the value of ecosystem services/sustainable development/Minqin分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
李维德,王积全..基于生态资产的生态系统风险分析模型及应用实例[J].生态学报,2009,29(7):3811-3817,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(30770333) （30770333）
国家留学基金资助项目 （）
