中国电子科技2006，Vol.4Issue(4)：448-452,5.
Optimal Rules to Adopt High Technology under Uncertainty
Optimal Rules to Adopt High Technology under Uncertainty
ZHANG Xiao-jun 1LI Shi-min1
作者信息
- 1. School of Management Science, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China Chengdu 610054 China
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
In the research of choosing the optimal timing for the high technology products,especially IT products to the market, most studies prefer to provide the scope or infimum of timing. In this paper, an optimal rule is adopted to guild the timing of high technology product to the market, this idea is illustrated through the theory of optimal stopping, and a high approach is developed to theoretical framework for timing decision. On this basis, a random programming model is established, in which the objective function is the expected profit to adopt high technology and the constraint condition is the successful probability over critical value α with all variables beyond the rule, and it is used to find the optimal timing of adopt high technology product.关键词
decision-making/high technology/expected profit/optimal stopping/random programmingKey words
decision-making/high technology/expected profit/optimal stopping/random programming引用本文复制引用
ZHANG Xiao-jun,LI Shi-min..Optimal Rules to Adopt High Technology under Uncertainty[J].中国电子科技,2006,4(4):448-452,5.
