地震学报(英文版)2007,Vol.20Issue(4):467-476,10.
Application of apparent stress in earthquake prediction
Application of apparent stress in earthquake prediction
摘要
Abstract
On the basis of the assumption that ω2 model accords with source displacement spectra of moderate-small shocks, we calculate the apparent stress values of 1 020 moderate-small shocks recorded by the Digital Seismic Network of Yunnan Province by using the low-frequency flat level and corner frequencies. The results show that the apparent stress is of good significance in earthquake prediction. The moderate-small shock with apparent stress larger than 0.9 MPa can be used as a referential index to predict moderate-strong earthquakes in Yunnan area. And its relevant predictability evaluation (R value) has a high confidence level.关键词
apparent stress/ predictability evaluation/ ω2 model/ confidence levelKey words
apparent stress/ predictability evaluation/ ω2 model/ confidence level分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
LIU Hong-gui,WANG Pei-ling,YANG Cai-xia,XU Ge,SUN Ye-jun,CHEN Zhang-li,ZHENG Si-hua..Application of apparent stress in earthquake prediction[J].地震学报(英文版),2007,20(4):467-476,10.基金项目
Project of National Natural Science Foundation (40574016), Joint Seismological Science Foundation of China (104047), and Science and Technological Planning Item of Social Development of Jiangsu Province (BS2005069).Contribution No.07FE3012, Institute of Geophysics,China Earthquake Administration. (40574016)