地震学报（英文版）2000，Vol.13Issue(1)：50-60,11.
Spatial and temporal synthesized probability gain for middle and long-term earthquake forecast and its preliminary application
Spatial and temporal synthesized probability gain for middle and long-term earthquake forecast and its preliminary application
摘要
Abstract
The principle of middle and long-term earthquake forecast model of spatial and temporal synthesized probability gain and the evaluation of forecast efficiency (R-values) of various forecast methods are introduced in this paper. The R-value method, developed by Xu (1989), is further developed here, and can be applied to more complicated cases. Probability gains in spatial and/or temporal domains and the R-values for different forecast methods are estimated in North China. The synthesized probability gain is then estimated as an example.关键词
probability gain middle and long-term earthquake forecast forecast efficiency evaluation R-valueKey words
probability gain middle and long-term earthquake forecast forecast efficiency evaluation R-value分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
..Spatial and temporal synthesized probability gain for middle and long-term earthquake forecast and its preliminary application[J].地震学报（英文版）,2000,13(1):50-60,11.基金项目
The paper is sponsored by the Key Project (95-04-07-04-01) during Ninth "Five-Year" Plan from China Seismological Bureau. （95-04-07-04-01）
