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An scientific evaluation of annual earthquake prediction ability

张国民刘杰石耀霖

地震学报（英文版）2002，Vol.15Issue(5)：550-558,9.

An scientific evaluation of annual earthquake prediction ability

张国民 ¹刘杰 ¹石耀霖²

作者信息

1. Center for Analysis and Prediction, China Seismological Bureau, Beijing 100036, China
2. Graduate School, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100039, China
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摘要

Abstract

The scientific idea of earthquake prediction in China is introduced in this paper. The various problems on evaluation of earthquake prediction ability are analyzed. The practical effect of prediction on annual seismic risk areas in 1990～2000 in China is discussed based on R-value evaluation method, and the ability of present earthquake prediction in China is reviewed.

关键词

earthquake prediction/annual consulation/prediction evaluation

Key words

earthquake prediction/annual consulation/prediction evaluation

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

张国民,刘杰,石耀霖..An scientific evaluation of annual earthquake prediction ability[J].地震学报（英文版）,2002,15(5):550-558,9.

基金项目

The Development and Planning Project of National Important Base Research (G19980407). （G19980407）

地震学报（英文版）

ISSN：1000-9116

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