气象科学2001，Vol.21Issue(1)：64-72,9.
区域趋势控制协变量回归分析效果评估方法研究
EVALUATION METHODS OF CLOUD SEEDING EFFECT WITH REGIONAL CONTROL AND COVARIABLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS
叶家东 1李铁林2
作者信息
- 1. 南京大学大气科学系,
- 2. 河南省人工影响天气办公室,
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
Three evaluation methods for the nonrandomized precipitation enhancement operation effects have been developed based on the regional rainfall control and meteorologiT cal covariable correlation: Dopple ratio analysis evaluation method using regional rainfall ten-dency control for single cloud seeding operation case ;regression analysis evaluation effects on the bases of regional correlation and developing tendency of rainfall;and multiple regression analysis with meteorological and physical covariables. It is shown from the evaluation exam-ples of effects for cloud seeding operation cases carried out in the central region of Henan Province ,that the inferential accuracy of natural rainfall on the cloud seeding operational area could be improved by using appropriate physical covariables as control factors ,then the eval-uational efficiency of efficiency for the nonrandomized cloud seeding operations can be in-creased.关键词
效果评估区域趋势控制协变量回归分析分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
叶家东,李铁林..区域趋势控制协变量回归分析效果评估方法研究[J].气象科学,2001,21(1):64-72,9.
