摘要
Abstract
The paper makes the dynamic imitating to relation among granulated sugar price per ton,granulated sugar supply and granulated sugar dem and in Xinjing.The model indicates:Beet sugar is changing into a special commodi ty.The lower the price is the more the granulated sugar quantity supplied buy su gar industry in Xinjiang is.To granulated sugar in Xinjiang,it's price deviate s eriously from value so that the product profit is less than zero for three years and total loss of profit keeps going up year by year.So it is necessary to adju st structure of beet sugar industry Xinjiang.According to the volume of debt and level of managing,sugar factories are divided into three clusters:the first,cap ital is greater than debt and managing is advanced;the second,capital equals deb t and managing is common;the third,capital is less than debt and managing is poo r.The paper suggests that eight or nine sugar factories go into bankruptcy in or der that granulated sugar output in Xinjiang go bake to market equilibrium point (0.32 million ton per year) of supply and demand.
关键词
新疆制糖业/随机时间序列/线性回归/期望价格模型/数值分类/结构调整分类
轻工纺织
