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电力系统可靠性评估的自适应分层重要抽样法

王晓滨 郭瑞鹏 曹一家 余秀月 杨桂钟

电力系统自动化2011,Vol.35Issue(3):33-38,6.
电力系统自动化2011,Vol.35Issue(3):33-38,6.

电力系统可靠性评估的自适应分层重要抽样法

A Self-adapting Stratified and Importance Sampling Method for Power System Reliability Evaluation

王晓滨 1郭瑞鹏 1曹一家 1余秀月 2杨桂钟2

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江大学电气工程学院,浙江省杭州市,310027
  • 2. 福建电力调度通信中心,福建省福州市,350003
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

A new method for power system reliability evaluation called self-adapting stratified and importance sampling (SASIS) is presented. With the SASIS, the system state space is partitioned into one contingency-free state subspace and various contingency order state subspaces. As contingency-free state subspace sampling is completely avoided, the SASIS converges fast in the system with high reliability. The number of sampling is optimally allocated among the contingency order state subspaces and the probability density function is steadily rectified. This method will markedly increase the calculating efficiency while eradicating the problem of low efficiency with the Monte Carlo method in high efficiency systems as reported in the past. Compared with other Monte Carlo methods, the results of the IEEE-RTS test system show that the method proposed is rational and highly effective and free from degradation.This work is supported by Important Zhejiang Science & Technology Specific Projects (No. 2007C11098).

关键词

可靠性评估/蒙特卡洛方法/分层抽样/重要抽样

Key words

reliability evaluation/ Monte Carlo method/ stratified sampling/ importance sampling

引用本文复制引用

王晓滨,郭瑞鹏,曹一家,余秀月,杨桂钟..电力系统可靠性评估的自适应分层重要抽样法[J].电力系统自动化,2011,35(3):33-38,6.

基金项目

浙江省重大科技专项资金资助项目(2007C11098). (2007C11098)

电力系统自动化

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-1026

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