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一种基于BP神经网络的江河潮位短期预测

何峰 王瑞荣 王建中 薛安克 谢发权 何晓洪 孙映宏

长江科学院院报2011,Vol.28Issue(1):21-24,42,5.
长江科学院院报2011,Vol.28Issue(1):21-24,42,5.

一种基于BP神经网络的江河潮位短期预测

A Kind of Short-term Height-Prediction of Tidal Level of Rivers Based on BP Neural Network Model

何峰 1王瑞荣 1王建中 1薛安克 1谢发权 2何晓洪 2孙映宏2

作者信息

  • 1. 杭州电子科技大学,杭州,310018
  • 2. 杭州水文水资源监测总站,杭州,310014
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In comparison between the tide bore of rivers and the tide of ocean, the occurrence-time and height of the river tide bore has the same feature as the ocean tide; but the river tide bore is influenced more easily by astronomy, weather and other factors, so it has the instability that is different from the ocean tide; the tide level of the tidal bore is the comprehensive result influenced by all kinds of factors. Since the BP neural network can approach any non-linear function, a short-term prediction model of the tidal height has been constructed. Some historical tidal data, as a training sample, are used to train the model, and others are used to predict the tidal data. Finally,the validity and the feature of the prediction model have been verified.

关键词

涌潮/BP神经网络/潮位/短期预测

Key words

tide bore/ BP neural network/ tide level/ short-term prediction

分类

地球科学

引用本文复制引用

何峰,王瑞荣,王建中,薛安克,谢发权,何晓洪,孙映宏..一种基于BP神经网络的江河潮位短期预测[J].长江科学院院报,2011,28(1):21-24,42,5.

长江科学院院报

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