水资源与水工程学报2011，Vol.22Issue(1)：58-62,5.
基于ARIMA的乘积季节模型在城市供水量预测中的应用
Application of product seasonal ARIMA model to the forecast of urban water supply
摘要
Abstract
With China's rapid economic growth, the people's income levels significantly increased with rapid increase of the city water supply and water use. based on the water supply data in Chengdu City from 2006 to the February 2010, disregarded the long -term trends and seasonal factors, through analysis and identification for the residual sequence, this paper established the city monthly water supply of the product seasonal ARIMA model (3,1,1) ( 1,1,1 ) 12. According to this model, the paper forecasted the month water supply in whole 2010, the effect was good.关键词
城市供水量/供水量预测/季节效应/ARIMA模型/乘积季节模型分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
赵凌,张健,陈涛..基于ARIMA的乘积季节模型在城市供水量预测中的应用[J].水资源与水工程学报,2011,22(1):58-62,5.基金项目
四川省软科学研究计划项目(09RKX0027) （09RKX0027）
