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基于灰色GM(1,1)模型的铁岭市工业废水排放量预测

邢妍 王宏 韩德昌

环境保护科学2011,Vol.37Issue(1):31-33,59,4.
环境保护科学2011,Vol.37Issue(1):31-33,59,4.

基于灰色GM(1,1)模型的铁岭市工业废水排放量预测

Gray GM(1 , 1) Model Based Prediction of Industrial Wastewater Discharge of TieLing City

邢妍 1王宏 1韩德昌1

作者信息

  • 1. 沈阳理工大学环境与化学工程学院,沈阳,110159
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The model is built to predict industrial wastewater discharge in Tieling City from 2010 to 2015. According to the characteristics of the data series about industrial wastewater discharge, the GM( 1 , 1 ) model of gray system is employed to build the model for predicting the amounts of Tieling City's industrial wastewater discharge, and the prediction model is modified by using GM ( 1, 1 ) residual model. Comparing the real data series of Tieling City's industrial wastewater discharge from 1999 to 2007 with the predicting data, the errors between real values and the prediction ones are relative small. The experimental results show that the model established by GM( 1,1 )is availability and more accuracy. The model can be used to provide scientific basis for Tieling City's economic development and the water pollution control.

关键词

铁岭市/灰色模型/残差模型/工业废水排放量/预测

Key words

Tieling City/Gray Model/Residual Model/Industrial Wastewater Discharge Prediction

引用本文复制引用

邢妍,王宏,韩德昌..基于灰色GM(1,1)模型的铁岭市工业废水排放量预测[J].环境保护科学,2011,37(1):31-33,59,4.

环境保护科学

OACSTPCD

1004-6216

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