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脑卒中发病概率预测模型评价研究

吕鸿杰

神经损伤与功能重建2011,Vol.6Issue(3):196-198,3.
神经损伤与功能重建2011,Vol.6Issue(3):196-198,3.DOI:10.3870/sjsscj.2011.03.011

脑卒中发病概率预测模型评价研究

Establishment of Predictive Model to Evaluate the Incidence Probability of Stroke L

吕鸿杰1

作者信息

  • 1. 温州市瓯海区第三人民医院急诊科,浙江,温州,325005
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective:To establish and evaluate a predictive model of incidence probability of stroke. Methods:The clinical data of 152 cases of stroke were retrospectivly analyzed. The risk factors of stroke were studied by logistic Regression method and the efficiency of this model was evaluated with ROC method. Results:The main risk factors of stroke patients include age, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, HDL and LDL. The area of ROC curve was 0. 884, suggesting that the predictive value was satisfactory. Conclusion: The useful predictive model by Logistic Regression which can be used to predict the incidence of stroke have been established.

关键词

脑卒中/危险因素/脑血管疾病/预测模型

Key words

stroke/ risk factors/ cerebrovascular disease/ predictive model

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

吕鸿杰..脑卒中发病概率预测模型评价研究[J].神经损伤与功能重建,2011,6(3):196-198,3.

神经损伤与功能重建

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