大气科学2011，Vol.35Issue(3)：473-482,10.
北极海冰数值预报的初步研究——基于海冰-海洋耦合模式MITgcm的模拟试验
A Preliminary Study of the Arctic Sea Ice Numerical Forecasting:Coupled Sea Ice - Ocean Modelling Experiments Based on MITgcm Abstract Based on the forcing from the NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) reanalysis data for
摘要
Abstract
the period 1992- 2009, the newly developed MITgcm (MIT general circulation model) coupled ice-ocean model shows that the simulated variabilities of the Arctic sea ice extent/area are in good agreement with the observations derived from the SSM/I (Special Sensor Microwave Irnager). On the basis of this, the ability of the MITgcm coupled ice-ocean model in forecasting the Arctic sea ice is investigated. Two cases are selected, one is during the melting period and the other is during the freezing period in 2009. Four forecasting experiments are conducted using atmospheric forcing from the NCEP reanalysis data and GFS (Global Forecast System), which use partly and entirely initialized SSM/I sea ice concentrations.. The preliminary results show that the model does have the Arctic sea ice forecast capability. It demonstrates that the sea ice forecast is not very sensitive to different atmospheric forcings,whereas initialization using SSM/I sea ice concentrations can much improve the sea ice forecast.关键词
北极/海冰-海洋耦合模式/海冰预报Key words
sea ice forecast/ ice-ocean coupled model/Arctic分类
海洋科学引用本文复制引用
杨清华,刘骥平,张占海,吴辉碇,李群,邢建勇..北极海冰数值预报的初步研究——基于海冰-海洋耦合模式MITgcm的模拟试验[J].大气科学,2011,35(3):473-482,10.基金项目
中国科学院"百人计划",国家科技支撑计划2011BAC03B02,国家自然科学基金资助项目40930848,国家重点基础研究发展计划项目2011CB309704、2006CB403605,国家高技术研究发展计划2008AA121704,公益性行业科研专项GYHY200806006 （）
