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基于BP神经网络模型的川中丘陵区坡耕地土壤侵蚀预测研究

朱雪梅 冯海峰 林立金 杨远祥 邵继荣 朱波 冯济敏

水土保持研究2011,Vol.18Issue(2):1-5,5.
水土保持研究2011,Vol.18Issue(2):1-5,5.

基于BP神经网络模型的川中丘陵区坡耕地土壤侵蚀预测研究

Research of Soil Erosion Prediction Based on Back Propagation Neural Network Model in the Hilly Region of Central Sichuan

朱雪梅 1冯海峰 1林立金 2杨远祥 1邵继荣 3朱波 4冯济敏5

作者信息

  • 1. 四川农业大学资源环境学院,四川雅安625014
  • 2. 雅安水土保持生态环境监测分站,四川雅安625000
  • 3. 四川农业大学生命科学与理学院,四川雅安625014
  • 4. 中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所,成都610041
  • 5. 名山县水务局,四川名山625100
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on back propagation (BP) neural network, the soil erosion was predicted according to the observational data from 1991 to 2000 of the six runoff plots at Suining Soil and Water Conservation Experiment Station in the central Sichuan Hilly Region. Five factors (rainfall, rainfall duration, rainfall intensity, vegetation cover, slope),nine factors (five factors plus early rainfall, early rainfall duration, pre-rainfall intensity and time interval before and after the rain), and ten factors (nine factors added to water conservation measures) are input respectively, and erosion is output in the model. The results showed as follows: the determination coefficient of 5 factors on soil erosion was 0.52, and the coefficient of efficiency of those was 0.48, which were not satisfactory, while those of 9 factors on soil erosion were 0.53 and 0.48, which were not good either, but those of 10 factors on soil erosion were 0.57 and 0.70, which achieved a satisfactory prediction results and business forecasting.

关键词

川中丘陵区/坡耕地/土壤侵蚀/BP神经网络模型

Key words

Central Sichuan hilly region/ slop farmland/ soil erosion/ back propagation neural network model

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

朱雪梅,冯海峰,林立金,杨远祥,邵继荣,朱波,冯济敏..基于BP神经网络模型的川中丘陵区坡耕地土壤侵蚀预测研究[J].水土保持研究,2011,18(2):1-5,5.

基金项目

国家科技支撑计划项目(2008BAD98B05) (2008BAD98B05)

水土保持研究

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1005-3409

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