安徽农业科学2011，Vol.39Issue(8)：5036-5037,2.
基于灰色新陈代谢模型的我国棉花产量预测
Application of Gray Metabolic Forecast Model in the Prediction of the Cotton Output in China
摘要
Abstract
In order to forecast the cotton output of China in the year 2011, Gray Metabolic Forecast Model is established based on both the Gray Forecast Model and the Metabolic Theory. According to the actual situation, forecast results of conventional GM ( 1,1 ) Model and Metabolism GM ( 1,1 ) Model are analyzed, showing that Metabolic Forecast Model has higher precision than the conventional forecast model.Therefore, Metabolism GM ( 1, 1 ) Model is used to forecast the cotton output of China in the year 2011, which is 614 968.3 thousand tons.关键词
灰色系统/GM(1,1)模型/棉花产量Key words
Gray system/GM(1,1) Model/Cotton output分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
周祖亮,殷春武..基于灰色新陈代谢模型的我国棉花产量预测[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(8):5036-5037,2.
