安徽农业科学2011，Vol.39Issue(10)：6215-6217,3.
中国林业产业结构灰色预测分析
Grey Prediction Analysis on Forestry Industrial Structure of China
摘要
Abstract
The grey relevance analysis was applied to study the 199 -2009 output value structure of china forestry system. Based on GM( 1,1 )model, information model was established to predict the forestry industrial structure of China in the next 10 years. Result showed that grey correlations between the three forestry industries and the forestry output value were O. 849 1, O. 731 1 and O. 821 3, respectively, with its order being secondary industry ＜ tertiary industry ＜ primary industry. Prediction result showed that forestry industry of China was in the middle stage of industrialization; and both secondary and tertiary industries would develop rapidly and became the leading industries.关键词
林业产业结构/灰色关联度/灰色预测/GM(1,1)模型Key words
Forestry industrial structure/Grey correlation/Grey prediction/GM( 1,1 ) model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王桂涛,胡申,温亚利..中国林业产业结构灰色预测分析[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(10):6215-6217,3.基金项目
阿拉善SEE生态协会资助"集体林权制度改革模式探析"项目 （）
北京市深化集体林权制度改革专题调研项目. （）
