同济大学学报（自然科学版）2011，Vol.39Issue(3)：401-404,426,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.0253-374x.2011.03.017
基于遗传程序设计的供水管网爆管预测模型
Predictive Pipe Failure Models for Water Distribution System Based on Genetic Programming
摘要
Abstract
The pipe failure data from 2004 to 2008 in a southern city were collected and average pipe age, tensile strength and pipe failure rate were obtained by data analysis,average pipe pressure was obtained by water distribution simulation. With the diameter classification of training samples, predictive pipe failure models which described the pipe failure rate correlations among diameters, average pipe pressure, average pipe age and tensile strength were established on the basis of the genetic programming. The feasibility and effectiveness of the models were verified by the pipe failure data from 2009. The results show that predictive pipe failure models can well describe actual conditions.关键词
遗传程序设计/供水管网/爆管/预测模型Key words
genetic programming/ water distribution system/ pipe failure/ predictive model分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
刘俊,俞国平..基于遗传程序设计的供水管网爆管预测模型[J].同济大学学报（自然科学版）,2011,39(3):401-404,426,5.基金项目
国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项资助项目(2009ZX07421-005) （2009ZX07421-005）
