安徽农业科学2011，Vol.39Issue(6)：3386-3389,4.
新疆阿勒泰地区西部蝗虫发生面积与大气环流特征量指数模型研究
Study on the Model between the Occurrenee Area of Locust and the Characteristic Quantity Indexes of Atmospheric Circulation in Western Aletai
摘要
Abstract
By analyzing the correlation between the occurrence area of locust and 74 characteristic indexes of atmospheric circulation in western Aletai from 1991 to 2008,the atmospheric circulation factors which had the significant relationship with the occurrence area of locust in different counties were screened. The prediction models for the occurrence area of locust in different counties were established by stepwise regression method,and the models obtained were also tested. These models were subsequently utilized to carry out extended prediction on the occurrence area of locust in different counties of western Aletai from 2009 to 2010. Meanwhile,the relationship between the atmospheric circulation factors and the occurrence area of locust were analyzed. The results provided the theoretical basis for the prediction on locust plague.关键词
大气环流指数/蝗虫发生面积/预测模型Key words
Atmospheric circulation index/Occurrence area of locust/Prediction model分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
齐贵英,白松符,潘雪梅..新疆阿勒泰地区西部蝗虫发生面积与大气环流特征量指数模型研究[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(6):3386-3389,4.基金项目
新疆维吾尔自治区气象局青年基金项目(201040). （201040）
