安徽农业科学2011，Vol.39Issue(6)：3577-3579,3.
加权马尔可夫链在泰安地区年降雨量预测方面的应用
Application of Weighted-markov Chain in Rainfall Prediction in Tai'an Area
摘要
Abstract
Based on the annual precipitation data from 1960 to 1990 in Tai'an area, taking the means and standard deviation of information series as the classification standard of precipitation, the past 30 years were classified into five states： drought year, weak drought year, normal year, weak water logging year and water logging year. The weighted-markov chains model was adopted to establish the annual rainfall prediction model, which could be used as the supplement of the original model. The prediction results are satisfactory. A drought will happen after 34 years.关键词
预测/降雨量/泰安/加权马尔可夫链/灰色系统理论Key words
Prediction/ Rainfall/ Tai'an/ Weighted-markov chain/ Grey system theory分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
王洋,吴家阳,王敏..加权马尔可夫链在泰安地区年降雨量预测方面的应用[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(6):3577-3579,3.
