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基于近似熵的突变检测新方法

何文平 何涛 成海英 张文 吴琼

物理学报2011,Vol.60Issue(4):813-821,9.
物理学报2011,Vol.60Issue(4):813-821,9.

基于近似熵的突变检测新方法

A new method to detect abrupt change based on approximate entropy

何文平 1何涛 2成海英 3张文 4吴琼5

作者信息

  • 1. 国家气候中心,北京,100081
  • 2. 济南市环境保护监测站,济南,250014
  • 3. 盐城工学院基础教学部,盐城,224002
  • 4. 南京邮电大学通达学院,南京,210003
  • 5. 国家卫星气象中心,北京,100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Approximate entropy (ApEn) is valid index which can be used to quantitatively reflect dynamic characteristics and complexity of a time series. The ApEn has been developed to detect an abrupt change in one-dimension time series by sliding a fixed widow, which can be identified with an abrupt dynamic change to some extent, but the sliding ApEn results depend on the window scale, and cannot accurately position the time-instant of an abrupt change. Based on this, a new method is proposed in the present paper, i. e. , moving cut data-approximate entropy ( MC-ApEn), which can be used to detect an abrupt dynamic change in time series. Tests on model time series indicate that the detection results from the present method show relatively good stability and high accuracy, obviously better than those from the sliding ApEn method and the Mann-Kendall method. The applications in daily precipitation records further verify the validity of the present method.

关键词

近似熵/滑动移除近似熵/突变检测

Key words

approximate entropy/ moving cut data-approximate entropy/ abrupt change detection

引用本文复制引用

何文平,何涛,成海英,张文,吴琼..基于近似熵的突变检测新方法[J].物理学报,2011,60(4):813-821,9.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(批准号:40905034,40875040,40930952),公益性行业(气象)科研专项基金(批准号:GYHY200806005,GYHY200906019)资助的课题. (批准号:40905034,40875040,40930952)

物理学报

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-3290

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