新疆农业科学2011，Vol.48Issue(3)：539-543,5.
新疆北疆林区森林火灾与气象因子的相关性分析
Correlation Analysis of Forest Fires and Meteorological Factors in Northern Xinjiang Forest Region
摘要
Abstract
[ Objecfive ] The impact of climate change on forest fire was discussed , expetcting to raise the ability of the forest fire prevention and adapt to the change of climate in northem Xinjiang forest region. [Method] The variation rule of forest fires and the characteristics of annual rainfall and average temperature change in recent 15 years were analyzed using the data of forest fires and the meteorological data from 1994 to 2008 in northem Xinjiang forest region by the correlation analysis method. [ Result]Results showed that the number of forest fire revealed a slightly increasing trend and the annual variability of forest fire has obvious phasic in recent 15 years in northem Xinjiang forest region . [ Conclusion] The air temperature increased and the annual rainfall had great fluctuations, which lead to anincrease in the accumulation of inflammable substance in the forest and make them dry and inflammable . These climatic reasons caused the forest fire danger level revealed increasing trend in northem Xinjiang forest region . Forest fire prevention situation would be even more severe .关键词
气候变化/森林火灾/气温/降水Key words
climate change/ forest fire/ temperature/ rainfall分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
梁瀛,雍宏,努尔古丽..新疆北疆林区森林火灾与气象因子的相关性分析[J].新疆农业科学,2011,48(3):539-543,5.基金项目
新疆维吾尔自治区科技支疆项目"新疆森林火灾分区分类施治体系构建"(2009912560) （2009912560）
国家林业公益性行业科研专项"新疆天山中部森林生态系统健康维护与经营技术研究"(200804022c) （200804022c）
西北区(新疆、青海)典型森林类型净生产力多尺度长期观测与评价研究(200804006/rhh-06) （新疆、青海）
