| 注册
首页|期刊导航|天津工业大学学报|黄金期货价格的混沌动力学分析与预测

黄金期货价格的混沌动力学分析与预测

刘鸿杰 黄东卫 王永昭

天津工业大学学报2011,Vol.30Issue(3):85-88,4.
天津工业大学学报2011,Vol.30Issue(3):85-88,4.

黄金期货价格的混沌动力学分析与预测

Chaotic dynamics analysis and forecast of gold futures price

刘鸿杰 1黄东卫 1王永昭1

作者信息

  • 1. 天津工业大学理学院,天津300160
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The time series which formed by the daily closing price of gold futures of the Shanghai Futures Exchange are studied. Based on phase space reconstruction, it is proved that the studied time series have the chaotic behavior by drawing phase diagram, calculating the characteristic parameters of time series like correlation dimension and the Kolmogorov entropy. Finally, the Radial Basis Function (RBF) neural network is adopted to forecast the further data of time series, and the satisfying forecast result is obtained.

关键词

黄金期货价格/混沌/动力学分析/关联维数/Kolmogorov熵/径向基神经网络

Key words

gold futures price/ chaos/ dynamics analysis/ correlation dimension/ Kolmogorov entropy/ RBF neural network

分类

数理科学

引用本文复制引用

刘鸿杰,黄东卫,王永昭..黄金期货价格的混沌动力学分析与预测[J].天津工业大学学报,2011,30(3):85-88,4.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金重点项目(10732020) (10732020)

天津工业大学学报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1671-024X

访问量0
|
下载量0
段落导航相关论文