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基于BP神经网络的微观交通安全预测方法

康迪 马寿峰 钟石泉

交通信息与安全2011,Vol.29Issue(3):79-83,5.
交通信息与安全2011,Vol.29Issue(3):79-83,5.DOI:10.3963/j.ISSN 1674-4861.2011.03.019

基于BP神经网络的微观交通安全预测方法

A Microcosmic Forecasting Model for Traffic Safety Based on BP Neural Network

康迪 1马寿峰 1钟石泉1

作者信息

  • 1. 天津大学管理与经济学部系统工程研究所,天津300072
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摘要

Abstract

The principal component analysis and BP neural network were introduced into the prediction of traffic safety. Factors influencing traffic accidents were analyzed from microcosmic perspective. The road parameters were analyzed and the original data were obtained. The obtained data were then analyzed by principal component analysis, which later would be used as the input of BP neural network to predict the traffic safety. The result shows that the BP neural network based on principal component analysis has a higher accuracy than general BP neural network. Furthermore, the impact of road parameters on traffic accidents from the microcosmic perspective is achieved.

关键词

主成分分析/BP神经网络/道路安全性预测

Key words

principal component analysis/ BP neural network/ prediction of road safety

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

康迪,马寿峰,钟石泉..基于BP神经网络的微观交通安全预测方法[J].交通信息与安全,2011,29(3):79-83,5.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(批准号:50908155)资助 (批准号:50908155)

交通信息与安全

OACSTPCD

1674-4861

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