中国人口·资源与环境2011，Vol.21Issue(6)：170-174,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2011.06.028
江苏省沿海地区经济发展与碳排放相关性研究
Relativity Study on Economic Development and Carbon Emissions in Jiangsu Coastal Areas
摘要
Abstract
The influence of economic development to carbon emissions per capita is greater than energy structure and energy efficiency. Based on energy consumption of the coastal area in Jiangsu province, carbon emissions and per capita carbon emission can be given. And the variation trend is consistent between carbon emissions and per capita carbon emission in this area from 1999 to 2008. Per capita GDP is on behalf of economic development information, and per capita carbon dioxide emission is on behalf of carbon emissions information. The EKC model has been used to analyze the relation and change trend between the economic development and carbon dioxide emissions in the Jiangsu coastal area. Based on the above condition and study, the relativity results show that all the parameters in the optimum fitting curve model is α0 =0.245 7, α1 =3. 658 14e-5, α2 = 1. 318 32e-8 and α3 = -3. 298 09e-13. So from the EKC model, the conclusion has been provided that the relationship between carbon emissions per capita and GDP per capita is not contrary U type, while is three times polynomial. In the meantime, according to the dynamic transformation of per capita carbon emission, two steps can be divided as from 1999 to 2006 and from 2006 to 2008 about per capita carbon emission in the Jiangsu coastal area. In the first step, per capita carbon emission increases with the economic development continuously; and in the second step, per capita carbon emission increases slowly.关键词
经济发展/碳排放/相关性研究/排放因子/环境库兹涅茨曲线/拟合优度Key words
economic development/ carbon emissions/ relativity study/ emission factor/ EKC/ goodness of fit分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王圣,王慧敏,蒋松凯,陈辉,蔡春霞,孙雪丽,李亚春..江苏省沿海地区经济发展与碳排放相关性研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011,21(6):170-174,5.基金项目
国家发改委碳排放清单研究课题 （）
江苏省沿海地区综合开发战略研究子课题(编号:2009LY29). （编号:2009LY29）
