海洋科学2009，Vol.33Issue(10)：59-62,4.
指数平滑模型在日本珍珠产量预测中的应用
Application of exponential smoothing model to forecasting the yield of Japanese pearl
摘要
Abstract
Japan is the world's cultured pearl country for the first large-scale, which plays an important role in the pearl history of the world. In recent years, Japan's pearl production decreased year after year. However, the Japanese government is to maintain its leading position in the world, using advanced process-ing technology, and imports pearls around the world, then exportes after processing in return for high pro-fits. Japan's advanced culture, processing technology, norms industry management, importuning intellectual prop-erty protection and consumers rights have an important inspiration for the development of China's pearl. In order to accurately judge Japan's pearl industry developments and scientifically establish goal of China's pearl industry, it is necessary to set up China's pearl industry development policies. In this paper, the ex-ponential smoothing mode is built with EVIEWS 5.0, and Japan's pearl production in 2008～2015 is forecas-ted. The prediction results showed that Japan's pearl production continued to decline and would reach 12.35 tons in 2015.关键词
指数平滑模型/日本珍珠产量/预测Key words
exponential smoothing model/ Japanese pearl production/ forecast分类
数理科学引用本文复制引用
张莉,罗鹏..指数平滑模型在日本珍珠产量预测中的应用[J].海洋科学,2009,33(10):59-62,4.基金项目
广东省自然基金资助项目(9152408801000019) （9152408801000019）
