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中国农业温室气体减排潜力及其政策意涵

黄德林 蔡松锋

农业环境与发展2011,Vol.28Issue(4):25-41,17.
农业环境与发展2011,Vol.28Issue(4):25-41,17.

中国农业温室气体减排潜力及其政策意涵

Reduction Potential and Policy Control of Chinese Agro-Greenhouse Gas Emissions

黄德林 1蔡松锋1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

By constructing the model of GTAP-E of reduction potential and policy control of Chinese agro-greenhouse gas emissions and its data base,this paper simulated the reduction potential and policy control of Chinese agro-greenhouse gas emissions.The result showed by 5% reduction,China's GDP would be reduced 0.059%,social welfare would be increased 1.16 billion U.S.D.22.08% and 2.9%increases in the price of rice and other crops were estimated,The price of cattle and sheep increased by 163.43%,the price of pigs and poultry increased by 0.57%,other livestocks price fell 0.98%.By 5% reduction,would significantly weaken the competitiveness of agricultural products in international market,and cut down its export,but would increase exports in other sectors,resulting in China's net exports increased by 4.55 billion U.S.D.Agricultural emission taxes would be imposed 22.311 billion U.S.D.

关键词

农业温室气体减排/减排潜力/政策意涵

Key words

Chinese agro-greenhouse gas emissions/reduction potential/control policy

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

黄德林,蔡松锋..中国农业温室气体减排潜力及其政策意涵[J].农业环境与发展,2011,28(4):25-41,17.

农业环境与发展

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2095-6819

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