农业现代化研究2011，Vol.32Issue(4)：400-404,5.
我国中部地区粮食生产波动性的成因及其政策建议
Analysis on Causes of Grain Production Fluctuation and Its Policy Suggestions in Central China
摘要
Abstract
Central China is the major grain producing areas of China, and its grain production accounts 30.33 percents of the whole country. Using the Grain production data of Central China from 1978 to 2008, the fluctuation index was constructed to analyze its fluctuation characteristics. The results showed: a significant increasing tendency existed with the fluctuation of the grain production in Central China from 1978 to 2008, and the fluctuation has the characteristics of change frequently, short periodic and great amplitude of variation. In view of the grain production fluctuation characteristics in Central China, we systematically analyzed the economic and social influential factors which had great influence on grain production, such as the policy guidance and the price of grain, the total amounts of arable land and grain acreage, the material and technological input of agriculture, and the grain distribution system. Combining the fact of constructing grain production base in Central China, some policies and suggestions were put forwards to stabilize its grain production, such as to intensify the arable land protection and stabilize grain cultivation area, to increase fiscal input in agriculture and infrastructure construction in grain production, to construct early warning mechanism grain production and stabilize the grain price, to propel agricultural technological progress etc.关键词
粮食生产/波动/周期/影响因素/中部地区Key words
grain production/ fluctuation/ cycle/ influential factors/ Central China分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
姚成胜,汪莹..我国中部地区粮食生产波动性的成因及其政策建议[J].农业现代化研究,2011,32(4):400-404,5.基金项目
教育部人文社会科学青年项目"中部地区城市化进程中的粮食安全水平测度及其对策研究"(编号:09YJC790136) （编号:09YJC790136）
教育部人文社科基地南昌大学中国中部发展研究中心招标课题"中部地区粮食保障能力评价及其建设途径研究"(编号:08zbzx0007). （编号:08zbzx0007）
