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基于灰色系统理论的加工番茄产量预测模型研究

袁莉 姜波

安徽农业科学2011,Vol.39Issue(17):10099-10100,10107,3.
安徽农业科学2011,Vol.39Issue(17):10099-10100,10107,3.

基于灰色系统理论的加工番茄产量预测模型研究

Study on the Yield Prediction Model of Processing Tomato Based on the Grey System Theory

袁莉 1姜波1

作者信息

  • 1. 新疆大学电气工程学院,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830047
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摘要

Abstract

[ Objective ] The research aimed to study the yield prediction model of processing tomato based on the grey system model. [ Method ] The variation trend of processing tomato yield was studied by using the grey system theory, and GM ( 1,1 ) grey model of processing tomato yield prediction was established. The processing tomato yield in Xinjiang during 2001 - 2009 as the example, the instance analysis was carried out. [ Result ] The model had the high forecast accuracy and strong generalization ability, and was reliable for the prediction of recent processing tomato yield. [ Conclusion ] The research provided the reference for the macro - control of tomato industry, the processing and storage of tomato in Xinjiang.

关键词

加工番茄产量/灰色系统理论/灰色预测模型

Key words

Processing tomato yield/Grey system theory/Grey prediction model

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

袁莉,姜波..基于灰色系统理论的加工番茄产量预测模型研究[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(17):10099-10100,10107,3.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(61064005). (61064005)

安徽农业科学

0517-6611

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