工矿自动化2011，Vol.37Issue(7)：18-23,6.DOI:CNKI：32-1627/TP.20110628.1408.006
基于马尔科夫链的煤矿灾变预测系统的建模研究
Modeling Research of Coal Mine Disaster Predicting System Based on Markov Chain
郭秋敏 1徐博1
作者信息
- 1. 中煤科工集团常州自动化研究院，江苏常州213015
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The paper proposed an opinion of constructing mathematics models which accords with characters of Marcov chain according to characteristics of coal mine, and used Marcov chain as a basic analyzing tool to describe mathematics modeling methods in three fields including fault analysis of electromechanical equipments, early warning analysis of underground waterbursting, and forecasting analysis of emergency rescue in details. The constructed models can predict probability of equipment faults, probability of underground waterbursting and escape situation after emergency, which provides probable data for coal mine disaster predicting and theory support for technology realization of coal mine disaster predicting system.关键词
煤矿；灾变预测；马尔科夫链；机电设备故障；井下涌水预警；事故应急救险Key words
coal mine/ disaster predicting/ Marcov chain/ electromechanical equipment fault/ early warning of underground waterbursting/ emergency rescue分类
矿业与冶金引用本文复制引用
郭秋敏,徐博..基于马尔科夫链的煤矿灾变预测系统的建模研究[J].工矿自动化,2011,37(7):18-23,6.
