安徽农业科学2011，Vol.39Issue(20)：12442-12446,5.
基于生态足迹的江苏省生态安全研究及预测
Research and Prediction of Ecologcal Security in Jiangsu Province Based on the Ecological Footprint
成舸 1岳贤平2
作者信息
- 1. 南京信息工程大学环境科学与工程学院,江苏,南京,210044
- 2. 南京信息工程大学经济管理学院,江苏,南京,210044
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
According to the 2000 -2010 Jiangsu Statistical Yearbook, per capita ecological footprint and per capita ecological carrying capacity in Jiangsu Province in the years 2001 - 2009 are analyzed starting from the ecological footprint model. Per capita ecological deficit is measured , as well as the pressure index of ecological footprint in order to judge the level of ecological safety and to objectively evaluate the ecological security of Jiangsu Province. GM( 1,1) grey forecasting mode is used to forecast the ecological security of Jiangsu Province in the years 2010 -2014. Research shows that in the next 5 years, both the per capita ecological footprint and the pressure index of ecological footprint will increase by 4% and 3.7% each year, respectively. And the ecological status in Jiangsu Province will be extremely unsafe. To achieve the coordinated development of ecological security and economy of Jiangsu Province, we should strictly control the population growth, rationally utilize the land resources, and strengthen the ecological restoration and construction.关键词
生态足迹/生态安全/江苏省/预测/GM(1,1)Key words
Ecological footprint/ Ecological security/ Jiangsu Province/ Forecast/ GM( 1,1)分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
成舸,岳贤平..基于生态足迹的江苏省生态安全研究及预测[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(20):12442-12446,5.
