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基于MNL模型的有轨电车出行选择行为研究

张栋 张力楠 史宇恒 蒋周耘 黎博文 杨晓光

交通信息与安全2011,Vol.29Issue(4):75-79,5.
交通信息与安全2011,Vol.29Issue(4):75-79,5.DOI:10.3963/j.ISSN1674-4861.2011.04.017

基于MNL模型的有轨电车出行选择行为研究

A Multinomial Logit Model for Travel Mode Choice Analysis with Tram Introduced as a New Alternative

张栋 1张力楠 1史宇恒 1蒋周耘 1黎博文 1杨晓光1

作者信息

  • 1. 同济大学交通运输工程学院 上海201804
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

A stated preference survey is carried in Shanghai where tram has been introduced as a new alternative of public transport. A multinomial logit (MNL) model is developed to study travelers' mode choice behavior after the tram has been built. Study results show that salary, on-time requirement and travel distance are the most influential factors when a traveler chooses a travel mode. The analyses also show that the Tram is suitable for the trips with a short or mediate range as well as for the passengers who consider on time to be important. Suggestions related to how the Tram should play in the entire public transport system and how to increase the share of public transport are also provided.

关键词

公共交通/出行行为/现代有轨电车/方式选择/MNL模型

Key words

public transport/travel behaviors tram/mode choice/multinomial logit model

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

张栋,张力楠,史宇恒,蒋周耘,黎博文,杨晓光..基于MNL模型的有轨电车出行选择行为研究[J].交通信息与安全,2011,29(4):75-79,5.

基金项目

国家重点基础研究发展计划资助项目(批准号:2006CB705500) (批准号:2006CB705500)

上海市大学生创新型实验计划项目资助 ()

交通信息与安全

OACSTPCD

1674-4861

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