农业工程学报2011，Vol.27Issue(9)：170-174,5.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-6819.2011.09.030
区域需水量多维随机模拟方法
Multi-dimension stochastic simulation method of regional water demand
摘要
Abstract
Water demand simulation is an important basis of regional water resources planning and management. Technologies of Choleskey factoring, Box-Cox data transferring and Monte-Carlo simulation are combined to establish a multi-dimension stochastic simulation model of regional water demand. And this model can realize long time-series simulation and express the correlativity between monthly water demands. The middle-lower reaches of HanJiang River was taken as study object. Results showed that the relative errors of mean value, variance and correlation coefficient of the simulated water demand series had least errors. This study presented a new method of water demand simulation with application value.关键词
灌溉/水管理/随机模型/需水量/多维随机模拟Key words
irrigation/water management/stochastic models/water demand/multi-dimension stochastic simulation分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
顾文权,邵东国..区域需水量多维随机模拟方法[J].农业工程学报,2011,27(9):170-174,5.基金项目
国家教育部博士学科点专项科研基金(20100141120029):水利部公益性行业科研专项项目(201001003-6) （20100141120029）
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助 （）
