山东农业大学学报（自然科学版）2011，Vol.42Issue(4)：527-532,6.
高淳县土地利用变化驱动因素分析与预测同子县
DRIVING FORCES AND PREDICTION ANALYSIS OF LAND USE CHANGE IN GAOCHUN COUNTY
摘要
Abstract
Base on the data from land use change survey in Gaochun Country from 1996 to 2008,this paper focuses on the research of land use change and its driving forces in Gaochun during past 12years. Main conclusions included: (1) The tendency of land use change is that the amount of cultivated land are decreasing largely and most construction land are rapidly increasing; (2) By the canonical correlation analysis of NOSA. , it is shows that the increase of the economy and urbanization that influences the whole land use change most;(3) The prediction GM(1,1) is applied to predict land use change trend in the future. The results show that the general tendency of land use change will be that the cultivated land and barren land will decrease and construction land will be steadly increasing. Garden plot and forest and will be stalde relatively in the future.关键词
土地利用/驱动因素/预测分析/高淳县Key words
Land use/ driving forces/ prediction analysis/ Gaochun County分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
孙玉杰,徐惠,黎德松,杨绍辉..高淳县土地利用变化驱动因素分析与预测同子县[J].山东农业大学学报（自然科学版）,2011,42(4):527-532,6.基金项目
河北省科技厅指导性计划项目编号:2010-10215681 （）
