生态学杂志2011，Vol.30Issue(11)：2646-2652,7.
生态脆弱性评价与预测研究进展
Assessment and forecast of ecological vulnerability: A review
摘要
Abstract
How to define, observe, assess, and forecast ecological vulnerability is of significance for maintaining ecosystem stability and realizing regional sustainable development. Based on the analysis of the related researches, this paper discussed the direction, scale, and methodology of ecological vulnerability research, and summarized the researches on the assessment and forecast of ecological vulnerability. It was considered that in the present ecological vulnerability researches, there existed some disadvantages, e. G. , imperfect research framework, inconsistent research methods, and uncoordinated relationship between research scale and research precision, and more attention would be paid to the four aspects in the future research: (1) the width and depth of the research, (2) the interdisciplinary collaboration and integration of the research, (3) the establishment of integrative research system containing dynamic monitoring, comprehensive assessment, and trend forecast by using "3S" technology, and (4) the research of related policies and countermeasures in response to ecological vulnerability.关键词
生态脆弱性/评价/预测/研究进展Key words
ecological vulnerability/ assessment/ forecast/ research progress.分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
靳毅,蒙吉军..生态脆弱性评价与预测研究进展[J].生态学杂志,2011,30(11):2646-2652,7.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(40871048)资助. （40871048）
