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中国生猪生产波动的同步性特征与平抑对策

岳冬冬

农业现代化研究2011,Vol.32Issue(5):513-517,5.
农业现代化研究2011,Vol.32Issue(5):513-517,5.

中国生猪生产波动的同步性特征与平抑对策

Synchronization Characteristic of Hog Production Fluctuation and Countermeasures

岳冬冬1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国水产科学研究院东海水产研究所,上海200090
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

By the method of synchronization coefficient, using the indicators of slaughtered fattened hogs, and this paper makes a calculation on the hog production fluctuation synchronization in China and its regions from 1980 to 2009. The results show that: (1) the mean value of synchronization coefficient between regions and the whole nation are 0.9023. And the synchronization coefficient of the Central and Southern China is the highest among the six regions, reaches to 1. (2) The synchronization coefficient between two regions is more than 0.7931. (3) Provinces and the whole nation have a strong synchronization coefficient, especially the major producing provinces is higher than other provinces. It indicates that the synchronization is strong in China, and this is a good explanation for the characteristic of hog production fluctuation. Finally, it concludes that we could stabilize the fluctuation by measures of coordinating hog production and strengthening the monitoring.

关键词

生猪生产/波动/同步系数

Key words

hog production/ fluctuation/ synchronization coefficient

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

岳冬冬..中国生猪生产波动的同步性特征与平抑对策[J].农业现代化研究,2011,32(5):513-517,5.

农业现代化研究

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