西安科技大学学报2011，Vol.31Issue(5)：593-597,5.
矿业工程项目施工工期可靠性预测研究
Construction time reliability forecasting of mining project
摘要
Abstract
Time is one of the three objectives for mining project, and construction time reliability as a appraisal index for time is introduced to measure time management level of mining project. Based on the method combined of Monte Carlo simulation and PERT, the forecasting model of construction time reliability is built. Compared with traditional PERT, the advantage of Monte Carlo simulation is to compensate the error caused by assumptions of PERT and to improve calculation accuracy. Finally, a case is chosen as the application of such theory and method.关键词
矿业工程项目/施工工期可靠性/蒙特卡洛模拟/计划评审技术Key words
mining project/ construction time reliability/ Monte Carlo simulation/ PERT分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
史玉芳,解燕平,陆路..矿业工程项目施工工期可靠性预测研究[J].西安科技大学学报,2011,31(5):593-597,5.基金项目
陕西省教育厅人文社科专项科研资助项目(11JK0170) （11JK0170）
