中国人口·资源与环境2011，Vol.21Issue(11)：61-66,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1002-2104.2011.11.011
中国不可再生能源消耗压力驱动与强度分解
Driving Forces of Consumption Pressure and Intensity Decomposition of Non-renewable Energy Resources of China
摘要
Abstract
Along with the increasingly serious predatory mining of the coal, oil, and natural gas, the supply-demand gap of China is increasingly enlarged. Meanwhile the consumption pressure imposed by economic growth and intensity impact is increasing year by year. Based on analysis of supply-demand gap and consumption constitution, this paper makes empirical analysis of driving force of consumption pressure of China' s non-renewable energy resources by means of IP AT identity and LMDI. Then in the light of the main driving force namely consumption intensity, this paper makes secondary decomposition of structure and efficiency effect by means of Fisher index. The results are as follows: on the one hand, the consumption pressure of China presents "trough-peak alternation" changing trend, the increase of pressure comes from the driving force of economic factor, and the decrease of that comes from inhibitory driving effect of consumption intensity; on the other hand, structural effect index imposes the main impact on consumption intensity, thus, the low-carbonization adjustment of industrial structure will promote the intensity decrease of internal consumption of industrial department in order to achieve the target of decrease of overall intensity.关键词
不可再生能源/消耗压力/消耗强度/IPAT方程/费雪指数分解Key words
non-renewable energy resources/consumption pressure/consumption intensity/IPAT identity/Fisher index decomposition分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
武春友,赵奥,卢小丽,吴获..中国不可再生能源消耗压力驱动与强度分解[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011,21(11):61-66,6.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目“不可再生资源全生命周期效率提升的能力建设模式研究”(编号:70103016) （编号:70103016）
国家自然科学基金青年项目“工业园生态效率定量化评价方法研究”(编号:70903010). （编号:70903010）
