福建林学院学报2011，Vol.31Issue(4)：295-299,5.
基于突变级数法的福建省森林火灾评价分析
Evaluation and analysis of forest fires in Fujian Province based on catastrophe progression method
摘要
Abstract
Catastrophe progression method has absorbed the advantages of analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and fuzzy evaluation, which has the advantages in the study of the multi-objective evaluation system of sudden forest fires. In this study, based on the statistics data of forest fires in Fujian Province from 1998 to 2007, in the light of advances in the evaluation of forest fires, an indices system to evaluate the loss from forest fires in Fujian Province was set up. Then it was evaluated and analyzed thought catastrophe progression method. The results showed that in recent 10 years, the overall loss of forest fires was serious and with a significant share of disastrous years in Fujian Province. Secondly, the loss of forest fires fluctuated severely, which had a great gap between the most serious disasters in 2004 and the lightest in 1998. It has been proved that catastrophe progression method with satisfactory results should be adopted in the multi-objective evaluation system of forest fires.关键词
突变级数法/森林火灾/指标体系/评价分析/福建省Key words
catastrophe progression method/forest fires/index system/evaluation and analysis/Fujian Province分类
林学引用本文复制引用
朱学平,何东进,丁福立,洪伟,游巍斌,纪志荣..基于突变级数法的福建省森林火灾评价分析[J].福建林学院学报,2011,31(4):295-299,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(30870415) （30870415）
福建省科技厅重点项目(2009N0009) （2009N0009）
福建农林大学人才培养模式创新试验区建设项目(01 rp10002). （01 rp10002）
