水力发电2011，Vol.37Issue(10)：22-24,27,4.
天津市水资源承载力的变化及驱动力研究
Carrying Capacity Change and Driving Forces Analysis for Water Resources in Tianjin
摘要
Abstract
Based on the principal component analysis, seven driving factors which influence the carrying capacity of water resources in Tianjin are classified into three kinds as economic dynamic pressure, social pressure and environmental pressure, and three main factors as population, industrial water use and agricultural water use are gained. Combined with regression analysis, the multiple linear regressions model is established to predict the total water uses in the year of 2020 and 2030, and the suggestions and measures are also proposed for meeting the requirements on water resources after analyzing the status of water resources in Tianjin.关键词
水资源承载力/驱动因子/主成分分析/多元线性回归Key words
carrying capacity of water resources/driving factors/principal component analysis/multiple linear regressions分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
席锐超,李继清,王勇..天津市水资源承载力的变化及驱动力研究[J].水力发电,2011,37(10):22-24,27,4.基金项目
国家自然科学基金项目(40971300) （40971300）
中央高校基本业务费项目(09MG16) （09MG16）
教育部留学人员科研启动基金(教外留10010) （教外留10010）
