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神经网络对马尾松蛀干类害虫数量的混沌识别

陈利星 陈绘画 周钦富

安徽农业科学2011,Vol.39Issue(28):17281-17282,2.
安徽农业科学2011,Vol.39Issue(28):17281-17282,2.

神经网络对马尾松蛀干类害虫数量的混沌识别

Chaos Detection of the Population of Pinus massoniana Trunk Borers Based on Feedforward Neural Network Approach

陈利星 1陈绘画 1周钦富1

作者信息

  • 1. 浙江省仙居县林业局,浙江仙居317300
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

[Objective ] To detect the chaos characteristic of population quantity of Pinus massoniana trunk borers from 2006 to 2010. [ Method] The feedforward neutral network approach was adopted to analyze the complex dynamics of P. Massoniana trunk borers. [ Result] The largest Lyapunov exponent estimated by feedforward network model was 0.012 8, indicating the chaos features of the population sequence of P.massoniana trunk borers. [ Conclusion ] The present quantity was closely correlated with the previous observation values, P. Massoniana trunk borers could be forecasted by reconstructed phase space method.

关键词

马尾松/蛀干类害虫/神经网络/时间序列分析/混沌/非线性动力学模型

Key words

Pinus massoniana / Trunk borers/ Neural network/ Time series analysis/ Chaos/ Nonlinear dynamic model

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

陈利星,陈绘画,周钦富..神经网络对马尾松蛀干类害虫数量的混沌识别[J].安徽农业科学,2011,39(28):17281-17282,2.

基金项目

仙居县科技局“仙居县林业主要有害生物数值预报的研究”(200628). (200628)

安徽农业科学

0517-6611

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