北京师范大学学报：自然科学版2011，Vol.47Issue(5)：508-512,5.
两类地震风险评估模型的对比与讨论
COMPARISON OF TWO MODELS FOR SEISMIC RISK ASSESSMENT
摘要
Abstract
This paper reviewed traditional method of seismic risk analysis,then introduced a discrete event-based simulation method.Yongsheng County in Yunnan Province was chosen as a case for study.These two methods were tested by calculating seismic hazard risks in Yongsheng and a comparison was made of the results in the form of exceeding probability（EP） curves.Data showed that these two methods generated relatively consistent EP curves.The paper considered the practical needs of insurance industry,then discussed advantages and rationality of event-based simulation method.关键词
地震风险模型/概率分析方法/离散事件仿真Key words
seismic risk analysis/probability based/discrete event-based simulation分类
地球科学引用本文复制引用
杨文涛,汪明,史培军..两类地震风险评估模型的对比与讨论[J].北京师范大学学报：自然科学版,2011,47(5):508-512,5.基金项目
科技部国际科技合作项目资助 （）
地标过程与资源生态国家重点实验室团队重点资助项目 （）
