大庆石油地质与开发2012，Vol.31Issue(1)：66-69,4.DOI:10.3969/J.ISSN.1000-3754.2012.01.013
不确定条件下产能项目评价模型及应用
EVALUATING MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION OF THE PRODUCTIVITY PROJECT UNDER UNCERTAIN CONDITION
李榕 1周庆1
作者信息
- 1. 大庆油田有限责任公司勘探开发研究院,黑龙江大庆163712
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
For the productivity project of oilfield development, especially making investment decisions for low-permeability oilfield and tertiary-oil-recovery project, only regular cash-flow method can be used to predict the project benefits because of the uncertain factors in the decisions. Thus the deviations maybe cause, so it is necessary to find out a more flexible method for the investment decisions. On the bases of the study results such as cash flow models, economic limits, physical option evaluation and so on at home and abroad, the cash flow and physical options have been contrasted and researched, and then the investment value model is established, where includes the intrinsic value of investment project and the value of physical options. Finally the evaluating model combining discounted cash flow method with physical options is presented, so a more accurate method for investment decisions has provided for the evaluation of the productivity project under uncertain conditions.关键词
不确定条件/现金流/实物期权/产能项目/评价模型Key words
uncertain condition/ cash flow/ physical option/ productivity project/ evaluating model分类
能源科技引用本文复制引用
李榕,周庆..不确定条件下产能项目评价模型及应用[J].大庆石油地质与开发,2012,31(1):66-69,4.
