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基于地震区划的电力系统元件损坏概率分析

贺海磊 郭剑波

电网技术2011,Vol.35Issue(12):38-42,5.
电网技术2011,Vol.35Issue(12):38-42,5.

基于地震区划的电力系统元件损坏概率分析

Components Damage Probability Analysis of Power System Based on Seismic Zonation

贺海磊 1郭剑波1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国电力科学研究院,北京市海淀区100192
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

actual components damage probability of power system in the earthquake is the foundation for seismic situation of electrical equipment and network seismic risk analysis. This article analyzes the characteristics of earthquake disasters, and points out that using seismic zoning is reasonable method for assessing area's intensity. Main components of substation and overhead lines in earthquake cases of failure probability analysis model based on seismic zoning are established combining with electrical equipment fragility curve. Finally, failure probability of substation components and overhead lines in Chengdu power grid is calculated with this method proposed. The results are still compared with the actual data which show that the method is effective.

关键词

地震区划/变电站/架空线/损坏概率

Key words

seismic zonation/substation components/overhead lines/damage probability

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

贺海磊,郭剑波..基于地震区划的电力系统元件损坏概率分析[J].电网技术,2011,35(12):38-42,5.

电网技术

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1000-3673

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