国防科技大学学报2011,Vol.33Issue(6):175-178,4.
概率化认知控制模式下人为差错概率的量化方法
The Method to Quantify Human Error Probability in Probabilistic Cognitive Control Mode
蒋英杰 1孙志强 1宫二玲 1谢红卫1
作者信息
- 1. 国防科技大学机电工程与自动化学院,湖南长沙410073
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
The quantification of human error probability in CREAM waS improved based on available meterials.First,the basic method of CREAM was introduced.Second,two methods tO determine probabilisfic control modes were discussed,which are Bayesian nets and fuzzy logic.The necessity to quantify human error probability in probabilistic control modes was emphasized.Last,the method Was proposed to quantify the human error probability in probabilistic control modes by theoretical inference.In order to improve the computing effectiveness,the Monte Carlo algorithm Was provided.An example was presented and the validity of the proposed method was proved.关键词
人为差错概率/人因可靠性分析/CREAM基本法/Monte Carlo仿真Key words
human error probability/human reliability analysis/CREAM basic method/Monte Carlo simulation分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
蒋英杰,孙志强,宫二玲,谢红卫..概率化认知控制模式下人为差错概率的量化方法[J].国防科技大学学报,2011,33(6):175-178,4.