干旱地区农业研究2011，Vol.29Issue(6)：244-248,5.
新疆石河子垦区50年气候变化对棉花种植的影响
Impacts of climate change on planting proportion of cotton in Shihezi area in the recent 50 years
摘要
Abstract
The meteorological data of Shihezi area during 1959 ~ 2008 was analyzed. The results showed that the climate turned a favorable trend for cotton production. The research period was divided into two stages, which showed that there was no close relationship between annual average temperature, accumulated temperature ≥ 10℃, ET0 and planting proportion of cotton during 1959 ~ 1980, but they had a close relationship during 1981 ~ 2008. The overall impacts of climate change on the planting proportion of cotton were achieved mainly though the influence of climatic potential productivity on cotton yield. The variation of the proportion of cotton afflicted had an upward trend during 1959 ~ 1980, while the absolute value was small; whereas the trend during 1981 ~ 2008 was downward, while the absolute value was large. The impacts of meteorological disasters on planting proportion of cotton were more severe in the second phase than in the first. The time interval of meteorological disasters was significantly shorter during 1981 ~ 2008, which has caused a potential threat to cotton production in the future.关键词
棉花/种植比例/气候变化/受灾比例/石河子垦区Key words
cotton/ planting proportion/ climate change/ afflicted proportion/ Shihezi area分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
范文波,江煜,吴普特,马枫梅,刘兵..新疆石河子垦区50年气候变化对棉花种植的影响[J].干旱地区农业研究,2011,29(6):244-248,5.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(30900865) （30900865）
国家科技支撑计划(2011 BAD29B09) （2011 BAD29B09）
石河子大学"263"项目(SL04011,SL05018) （SL04011,SL05018）
