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概率分布模型的飞机战备完好率评估与预测

李建伟 郭基联 王卓健

火力与指挥控制2011,Vol.36Issue(10):74-76,80,4.
火力与指挥控制2011,Vol.36Issue(10):74-76,80,4.

概率分布模型的飞机战备完好率评估与预测

Assessment and Prediction of Aircraft Readiness Rates Based on Probability Distribution Model

李建伟 1郭基联 1王卓健1

作者信息

  • 1. 空军工程大学工程学院,西安 710038
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Aircraft readiness rate is an important manifestation of battle effectiveness for the aircraft. Based on analyzing the defect of arithmetic of aircraft readiness rate usually used in army at present. This article has established the aircraft readiness rate model based on probability distribution model, this model has revealed the relation of the mission reliability, maintainability and aircraft readiness rate. Taking a certain type of aircraft for example, this article has calculated the aircraft readiness rate of the aircraft basing on probability distribution model through analyzing the arithmetic of the mission reliability and utilizing reliability,maintainability,supportability and statistical data occurred during the implementation of the mission, the result of which is more accurate. It can be used to assess and predict readiness rate of specific models in use.

关键词

飞机战备完好率/概率分布模型/任务可靠度

Key words

aircraft readiness rate,probability distribution model,mission reliability

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

李建伟,郭基联,王卓健..概率分布模型的飞机战备完好率评估与预测[J].火力与指挥控制,2011,36(10):74-76,80,4.

基金项目

武器装备重点基金资助项目(51319080201) (51319080201)

火力与指挥控制

OA北大核心CSCDCSTPCD

1002-0640

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